Daily coverage from across the country, written for the expat community
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The Banco Central del Ecuador raised its 2026 GDP growth projection to 2.5%, up 0.7 points from its September forecast. Inflation is expected at 1.8%, private credit to grow 10%, and the external account to post a $6.4 billion surplus. 2025 closed at 3.7% growth — so momentum is slowing.
Los Ríos rice farmers are opening their winter harvest with no real buyers. The short version: an estimated 20% smaller crop, buyers paying $29/quintal against a $34 minimum support price, and 95,000 tons in losses to flooding and drought. The bottleneck is the Colombia trade war blocking last season's surplus from export.
President Daniel Noboa announced on April 13 that he will make an official visit to China in August 2026, framing it around trade with nations that have become important Ecuador partners over the last 20 years. His first China visit was in June 2025.
Ecuador's weather service INAMHI issued a rare warning on April 12 of an "unprecedented heat wave" with coastal cities clearing 35°C and heat index values approaching 40°C. The Litoral region is taking the brunt. Here's what that means for coastal expats.
Ecuador's Constitutional Court ruled unanimously (9-0) that President Noboa cannot fast-track the bilateral investment treaty with the UAE. The ISDS provisions trigger constitutional review, and the treaty must be approved by the National Assembly. Investors tracking the UAE corridor should expect delays.
Ecuador will formally accept its largest hydroelectric plant from Chinese builder Sinohydro by April 17, despite more than 7,600 documented fissures in critical equipment that the Comptroller ordered repaired. The settlement releases approximately $200 million in guarantees back to Sinohydro. The plant currently operates at less than half its 1,500 MW capacity.
Ecuador's Ministry of Public Health has launched dengue prevention interventions across 1,500 critical sectors in seven provinces, with 945 confirmed cases reported in early 2026. Sucumbios, Guayas, Esmeraldas, and Pichincha are the hardest hit as the rainy season continues.
Mazar, the critical reservoir feeding Ecuador's largest hydroelectric complex, has fallen to just 22 meters above its operational minimum. With the dry season outlook uncertain, the specter of the 2024 blackouts -- when Ecuadorians lived through 14-hour daily power cuts -- is back on the table.
Baños de Agua Santa reached 100% hotel occupancy for Easter weekend, drawing approximately 30,000 daily visitors. The adventure tourism hotspot is a popular expat day-trip destination. Expect heavy traffic on the Ambato-Baños highway and congested attractions through April 5.
The European Commission concluded negotiations on a Sustainable Investment Facilitation Agreement (SIFA) with Ecuador -- the EU's first such deal with any Latin American country. The agreement focuses on streamlining investment authorizations, improving transparency, and includes a first-of-its-kind annex on sustainable energy and raw materials.
The World Bank forecasts Ecuador's economy will grow just 2% in 2026, among the lowest rates in Latin America. A fiscal deficit of 3-4% of GDP, expiring security contributions, weakening oil receipts, and likely tax reform paint a challenging picture.
The Development Bank of Latin America (CAF) signed a $42 million loan agreement with Cuenca for urban infrastructure development -- one of the largest multilateral financing packages for an Ecuadorian city outside Quito and Guayaquil. The investment comes as Cuenca faces mounting infrastructure strain from flooding and aging utility systems.
