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News from Ecuador, for the world

EE
economy

IESS Pension System Faces $4.28 Billion Deficit in 2026 as Pensioners Double Since 2016

Ecuador's social security pension system has more than doubled its retiree count since 2016 — to 840,456 — while contributing affiliates have stayed flat at 3.54 million. Pension spending hits $7.55 billion in 2026, contributions cover only $3.44 billion. The IESS is requesting $3.05 billion from the government and pulling $1.41 billion from reserves. Here's what's actually happening to Ecuador's pension system.

Chip MorenoChip Moreno·April 17, 2026
EE
economy

Ecuador-South Korea Trade Agreement Ratified — 98.9% of Ecuadorian Exports Will Hit Korea Tariff-Free

President Noboa ratified the SECA trade agreement with South Korea via Decreto Ejecutivo 359 on April 15, two days after the Asamblea approved it 83 votes. The deal eliminates tariffs on 98.9% of Ecuadorian exports to a 51-million-consumer market. Shrimp goes to 0% immediately. Bananas phase out over five years. Here's what's in it.

Chip MorenoChip Moreno·April 17, 2026
EE
economy

Noboa's Q1 2026 Numbers: 9.4% Sales Growth, Country Risk at 416 bps, $533M in Public Investment

President Noboa presented Q1 2026 economic results in a national broadcast. Sales hit $63.2 billion (vs $57.7B Q1 2025). Country risk dropped from 1,908 bps a year ago to 416 today. Public investment jumped from $42M to $533M YoY. Here's what the government is claiming and what to actually take from it.

Chip MorenoChip Moreno·April 17, 2026
EE
economy

Mazar Reservoir Holds 23–28 Meters Above 2024 Levels — Government Says "We Have Water"

Ecuador's strategic Mazar reservoir is sitting at ~2,137 m.s.n.m. — about 61% of stored energy capacity, and 23–28 meters above the same period in 2024. Energy Minister Inés Manzano declared "tenemos agua." Hydroelectric is currently delivering 72.3% of national output. Here's the supply-side picture as the heat wave continues.

Chip MorenoChip Moreno·April 17, 2026
EE
economy

Big SRI Change: VAT (IVA) Declaration and Payment Become a Single Step Starting June 1

Starting June 1, 2026, Ecuador's tax authority requires VAT declarations to be filed and paid in a single transaction. Partial payments — even with credit notes — invalidate the declaration. If you run a business, rental property, or freelance income through SRI, this is a meaningful workflow change. Here's what's required.

Chip MorenoChip Moreno·April 17, 2026
EE
safetyquito

Police Operativo Apolo 19 in Southern Quito: 30 Arrested, 11 Stolen Vehicles Recovered, 1.5 kg Cocaine Seized

National Police executed Operation Apolo 19 in Quito's Quitumbe district on April 17, arresting 30 people across Guamaní, Turubamba, Chillogallo, La Ecuatoriana, and Las Cuadras. 53 officers participated. Seizures included 1 firearm, 20 bladed weapons, 14 detonators, 58 rounds of ammunition, 1.5 kg of cocaine, and 11 stolen vehicles.

Chip MorenoChip Moreno·April 17, 2026
EE
economy

Ecuador-Colombia Trade Collapses 44% in February After Both Countries Impose 30% Tariffs

Bilateral trade between Ecuador and Colombia fell 44% year-over-year in February 2026, the first month of the tariff war — to just $124.9 million. Ecuadorian imports from Colombia dropped 66%. Exports fell 20%. Pharma imports collapsed 34%, industrial chemicals 48%, and Rumichaca's transport hub has ground to a halt.

Chip MorenoChip Moreno·April 16, 2026
EE
breakingcoast

Interagua Schedules Major Water Service Cuts in Guayaquil April 18–19 — Here Are the Affected Sectors

Guayaquil's water utility Interagua will suspend service across large parts of the city and the Daule corridor this weekend for maintenance. Cuts run from Saturday April 18 at 10 PM through Sunday April 19, with some sectors out until 3 PM. Here's the sector-by-sector breakdown.

Chip MorenoChip Moreno·April 16, 2026
EE
economy

Ecuador's Central Bank Projects 2.5% Growth in 2026 — Revised Up, But Below Last Year

The Banco Central del Ecuador raised its 2026 GDP growth projection to 2.5%, up 0.7 points from its September forecast. Inflation is expected at 1.8%, private credit to grow 10%, and the external account to post a $6.4 billion surplus. 2025 closed at 3.7% growth — so momentum is slowing.

Chip MorenoChip Moreno·April 16, 2026
EE
economy

SRI Reports $267 Billion in 2025 Sales (+9%), 167 Million Visits to Online Portal

Ecuador's tax authority SRI reported $267.2 billion in reported sales for 2025, a 9% increase over 2024, alongside $21.5 billion in tax collection (+6.8%). The online portal pulled in 167 million visits and 3.5 million access-credential transactions. Mobile service brigades jumped 226%.

Chip MorenoChip Moreno·April 16, 2026
EE
politics

Ecuador's National Assembly Passes Mandatory Financial Education Law — 88 Votes, All School Levels

The National Assembly approved a law making financial education mandatory across all levels of Ecuador's education system, from early childhood to university. The curriculum will cover electronic fraud prevention, safe digital platform use, and AI literacy. Revolución Ciudadana voted against despite one legislator calling it 'objective and technical.'

Chip MorenoChip Moreno·April 16, 2026
EE
safety

Judge Orders Preventive Detention for 15 in Fuel Trafficking Network — Active-Duty Military and Police Among Those Arrested

A 16-person fuel trafficking ring operating across six provinces since October 2024 has been dismantled. Three active-duty military members, five police officers, and eight civilians were detained. A judge has ordered preventive detention for 15 of them on charges tied to hydrocarbon diversion and support for criminal organizations.

Chip MorenoChip Moreno·April 16, 2026