Daily coverage from across the country, written for the expat community
The Banco Central del Ecuador confirmed that GDP grew 3.7% in 2025, pulling the country out of the 2% contraction it suffered in 2024. Growth was driven by exports (+6.4%), investment (+5.6%), and household consumption (+2.7%). The 2026 forecast is a more modest 1.8%.
Colombia has indefinitely suspended electricity exports to Ecuador as part of an escalating trade war. Ecuador normally imports 8-10% of daily demand from Colombia, and replacing that power with costlier generation is running approximately $2 million per day.
Ecuador and Colombia have imposed tit-for-tat tariffs reaching 50% on hundreds of goods, putting approximately $2.8 billion in annual bilateral trade at risk. Colombia has also suspended electricity exports and faces retaliatory pipeline fee increases from Ecuador.
Gasoline and diesel prices in Ecuador are expected to increase approximately 5% when the monthly band adjustment takes effect on April 12. Extra and ecopais gasoline currently at $2.89/gallon and diesel premium at $2.82/gallon are being pushed higher by WTI crude above $100/barrel.
The U.S. Trade Representative and Ecuador formalized a reciprocal trade deal covering approximately $2.786 billion in goods. U.S. beef tariffs will phase to zero over three years, pork tariffs are mostly eliminated, and Ecuador secures preferential treatment for over 90% of the U.S. agricultural schedule.
Executive Decree 348 temporarily reduces Ecuador's IVA from 15% to 8% for tourism services from April 3-5 during Semana Santa. The cut covers accommodation, food and beverage, tourist transport, travel agencies, and ecotourism operations.
Ecuador shipped 125,200 tonnes of shrimp in January 2026, a 23% increase year-over-year. China remains the top buyer at 49.5% of volume, though its share has declined from 54.2% in 2024. The industry projects a 15% increase for the full year.
Banco Bolivariano issued Latin America's largest biodiversity bond at $120 million, backed by IDB Invest ($50M), IFC ($50M), and FMO ($20M). The 5-year bond funds sustainable agriculture, freshwater and marine ecosystem protection, waste management, forestry, and ecotourism.
The World Bank forecasts Ecuador's economy will grow just 2% in 2026, among the lowest rates in Latin America. A fiscal deficit of 3-4% of GDP, expiring security contributions, weakening oil receipts, and likely tax reform paint a challenging picture.
A U.S. Army Corps of Engineers study warns that Coca River erosion could reach the 1,500 MW Coca Codo Sinclair hydroelectric plant's water intake by 2026. The plant provides roughly one-third of Ecuador's national electricity. Recent rains have improved reservoir levels, and a new 200 MW plant has come online.
Ecuador is positioned to become the world's second-largest cocoa grower behind Cote d'Ivoire. Anecacao projects exports exceeding 623,000 metric tons in 2026, up from 375,720 MT in 2023. The country is targeting 800,000 MT by the end of the decade.
LATAM Ecuador launched the first-ever direct flight from Cuenca to the Galapagos Islands on March 31. The twice-weekly Airbus A319 service starts at $310 round-trip and eliminates the need for an overnight layover in Quito or Guayaquil.
