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Ecuador will withhold a $98 million retention guarantee and a $36 million distributor-related guarantee — totaling $134 million — from contractor Sinohydro until parent company PowerChina assumes operation and maintenance in July 2026. The plant has 17,000+ identified distributor fissures.
Ecuador's government takes formal possession of the country's largest hydroelectric project today, ending a decade of refused acceptance over 17,661 documented fissures. China's PowerChina takes over operation and maintenance at $46M/year for 25 years. Here's what the deal contains and what it means for the country's power supply.
President Daniel Noboa announced on April 13 that he will make an official visit to China in August 2026, framing it around trade with nations that have become important Ecuador partners over the last 20 years. His first China visit was in June 2025.
Energy sector expert Marco Acuña warned on April 8 that Ecuador has registered an electrical generation deficit that could trigger power cuts during peak hours. The government disagrees, but Colombia's energy cutoff and Coca Codo Sinclair's chronic underperformance create real vulnerability.
Ecuador will formally accept its largest hydroelectric plant from Chinese builder Sinohydro by April 17, despite more than 7,600 documented fissures in critical equipment that the Comptroller ordered repaired. The settlement releases approximately $200 million in guarantees back to Sinohydro. The plant currently operates at less than half its 1,500 MW capacity.
A U.S. Army Corps of Engineers study warns that Coca River erosion could reach the 1,500 MW Coca Codo Sinclair hydroelectric plant's water intake by 2026. The plant provides roughly one-third of Ecuador's national electricity. Recent rains have improved reservoir levels, and a new 200 MW plant has come online.
After devastating blackouts throughout 2024 and into 2025, Ecuador's electricity outlook is the most optimistic in over a year. Heavy rains have refilled major reservoirs, Mazar dam hit maximum capacity, and a new 200 MW plant is online. But risks remain.
In a CNN en Espanol interview on March 20, President Noboa defended Ecuador's commercial relationship with China while reaffirming the country's deepening military and diplomatic alliance with the United States.
Ecuador's grid operator CENACE has ordered businesses to self-generate electricity from 9 AM to 11 PM on weekdays since March 17. The Coca Codo Sinclair dam is operating at 37% capacity, and Colombia has suspended 450 MW in electricity exports.
