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News from Ecuador, for the world

EE
economy

Ecuador's Oil Output Falls to 466,400 Barrels Per Day -- Pipeline Theft Soars, Fiscal Gap Widens

January 2026 crude production hit 466,400 bbl/d, down 1.8% year-over-year and 13% below a decade ago. Illegal pipeline taps surged from 36 in 2022 to 770 in 2024, costing $100 million annually. Ecuador needs 550,000 bbl/d just to cover basic fiscal needs.

Chip MorenoChip Moreno·March 31, 2026
EE
economycuenca

CAF Signs $42 Million Loan with City of Cuenca for Urban Infrastructure

The Development Bank of Latin America (CAF) signed a $42 million loan agreement with Cuenca for urban infrastructure development -- one of the largest multilateral financing packages for an Ecuadorian city outside Quito and Guayaquil. The investment comes as Cuenca faces mounting infrastructure strain from flooding and aging utility systems.

Chip MorenoChip Moreno·March 31, 2026
EE
economy

Ecuador's Power Grid Outlook Improves Heading Into Rainy Season

After devastating blackouts throughout 2024 and into 2025, Ecuador's electricity outlook is the most optimistic in over a year. Heavy rains have refilled major reservoirs, Mazar dam hit maximum capacity, and a new 200 MW plant is online. But risks remain.

Chip MorenoChip Moreno·March 30, 2026
EE
economy

South Korea Trade Deal (SECA) Cleared by Constitutional Court

Ecuador's Constitutional Court declared the Strategic Economic Cooperation Agreement (SECA) with South Korea constitutional, clearing the final legal hurdle. 98.8% of Ecuador's exportable products will enter Korea tariff-free, opening access to 51 million consumers.

Chip MorenoChip Moreno·March 30, 2026
EE
economy

New Tax Withholding Rates in Effect — SRI Eliminates 2.75% Bracket, Raises Default to 3%

Ecuador's tax authority SRI has implemented new withholding rates effective March 1 under resolution NAC-DGERCGC26-00000009. The 2.75% rate has been eliminated and replaced with a 5% bracket, and the default withholding rate has increased to 3%.

Chip MorenoChip Moreno·March 27, 2026
EE
economy

Korea Free Trade Deal Cleared — 98.8% of Ecuadorian Products Enter Korea Tariff-Free

Ecuador's Constitutional Court declared the SECA trade agreement with South Korea compliant on March 19. The deal grants tariff-free access for 98.8% of Ecuadorian products and covers investment, technology transfer, energy, and infrastructure cooperation.

Chip MorenoChip Moreno·March 27, 2026
EE
economy

Ecuador Signs Trade Deal With U.S. — 53% of Non-Oil Exports Now Tariff-Free

Ecuador and the United States signed a bilateral trade agreement on March 18 granting tariff-free access for 53% of Ecuador's non-oil exports, worth $2.786 billion. The deal covers 1,673 tariff subheadings including bananas, shrimp, cocoa, coffee, and flowers.

Chip MorenoChip Moreno·March 27, 2026
EE
economy

Businesses Ordered to Run Generators 14 Hours a Day as Electricity Crisis Deepens

Ecuador's grid operator CENACE has ordered businesses to self-generate electricity from 9 AM to 11 PM on weekdays since March 17. The Coca Codo Sinclair dam is operating at 37% capacity, and Colombia has suspended 450 MW in electricity exports.

Chip MorenoChip Moreno·March 27, 2026
EE
economy

Ecuador-Colombia Trade War Escalates — 50% Mutual Tariffs, $2.8B at Risk

Ecuador and Colombia have imposed 50% tariffs on each other's imports in an escalating trade war that puts $2.8 billion in bilateral trade at risk. Colombia has also suspended electricity exports and raised pipeline fees by 900%.

Chip MorenoChip Moreno·March 27, 2026
EE
economy

U.S.-Ecuador Trade Agreement Signed — 53% of Non-Oil Exports Now Tariff-Free

Ecuador and the United States have signed a trade agreement that eliminates tariffs on 53% of Ecuador's non-oil exports. The deal covers bananas, shrimp, flowers, cacao, and other key agricultural products, strengthening economic ties between the two countries.

Chip MorenoChip Moreno·March 26, 2026
EE
economy

Ecuador Signs $3 Billion Trade Deal with UAE — 96%+ Tariff Elimination

Ecuador has signed a comprehensive trade agreement with the United Arab Emirates worth an estimated $3 billion, eliminating tariffs on over 96% of goods traded between the two countries. The deal opens Middle Eastern markets to Ecuadorian agriculture and positions Ecuador as a gateway to Latin America for Gulf investors.

Chip MorenoChip Moreno·March 26, 2026
EE
economy

Ecuador's Economy in 2026: GDP Growth, Inflation, and Country Risk Overview

Ecuador's economy is projected to grow approximately 2% in 2026 with inflation holding near 1.5%. Country risk stands at 460 basis points. Here is what the numbers mean for expats living on dollar-denominated income in a dollarized economy.

Chip MorenoChip Moreno·March 26, 2026