Daily coverage from across the country, written for the expat community
New numbers from Colombia's DIAN show Colombian exports to Ecuador fell 27% in January–February 2026 as Ecuador's security-tariff regime ramped up. Between February and March, the fall steepened to 57%. Ecuador's tariff escalates again on May 1 — from 50% to 100%. Here's the picture and what it means for consumer prices.
Ecuador's April 12 fuel adjustment raised Extra and Ecopaís gasoline by 4.6%, diesel by 4.7%, and Súper by 26% — from $3.62 to $4.57 per gallon. Transport associations are planning a march in Quito and warning that costs will be passed through to importers, exporters, and ultimately consumers. Here's the breakdown.
Economy Minister Sariha Moya presented Ecuador's fiscal efficiency formula at the IMF Spring Meetings in Washington on April 14. Her headline numbers: international reserves up from $3 billion to $11 billion, poverty down from 28% to 21% in 2025, and local-government payment delays cut by 85%. She credited the fuel subsidy phase-out that ran from June 2024 through September 2025.
Ecuador's Production, Foreign Trade, Investment and Fisheries Minister Luis Alberto Jaramillo met with the Ecuadorian-American Chamber of Commerce in Guayaquil on April 14 to walk through the US Reciprocal Trade Agreement. Headline: 57% of non-oil exports get zero tariffs. Concerns: competition with subsidized US agricultural products.
The IMF raised its 2026 GDP growth projection for Ecuador from 2% to 2.5% in the latest World Economic Outlook, presented at the Washington spring meetings. That puts Ecuador above the 2.3% South American average. For context, Ecuador posted 3.7% growth in 2025.
Los Ríos rice farmers are opening their winter harvest with no real buyers. The short version: an estimated 20% smaller crop, buyers paying $29/quintal against a $34 minimum support price, and 95,000 tons in losses to flooding and drought. The bottleneck is the Colombia trade war blocking last season's surplus from export.
The April 12 fuel price hike is already flowing through to family budgets on the coast. One south Guayaquil family reports their nephew's round-trip school transport jumped from $50 to $60 per month. The coastal school year just started — and the cost structure changed with it.
WTI crude oil tumbled more than 15% to $95/barrel on April 8 after Trump postponed his Iran infrastructure strike threat, then rebounded 7.3% to $101.28 on April 9. For Ecuador — both an oil exporter and a country where consumers pay market fuel prices — this volatility cuts both ways.
Energy sector expert Marco Acuña warned on April 8 that Ecuador has registered an electrical generation deficit that could trigger power cuts during peak hours. The government disagrees, but Colombia's energy cutoff and Coca Codo Sinclair's chronic underperformance create real vulnerability.
President Noboa has declared 2026 'the year of construction,' with sector sales up 20.5%, real estate transactions up 17.8%, and $6.5 billion in purchase-sale promises on the books through 2028. Government incentives include preferential mortgages, IVA refunds for builders, and a new social housing law.
Ecuador's national hotel occupancy reached 40.3% in the most recent reporting period, up 3.6 percentage points year-over-year. The recovery is real but modest — pre-pandemic occupancy averaged 50-55% nationally. Coastal and Galápagos properties are leading the rebound.
WTI crude surged past $100/barrel in early April, driven by the Middle East conflict and Strait of Hormuz disruption. For Ecuador, it's a double-edged sword: oil exports bring in more revenue, but the fuel band system passes the pain directly to consumers at the pump.
